Drake has teased that he’ll finally reveal the release date for his highly anticipated album once the ice melts.
According to Professor Valentin Crépel from the University of Toronto, Drake’s ICEMAN sculpture might take at least two weeks to fully melt. The theoretical quantum physicist shared his insight with Pitchfork on Tuesday, giving fans a rough idea of when they might finally get the album date.
“If the structure were fully solid, this would correspond to roughly 350 tons of ice!” he told the outlet. “In practice, the structure is almost certainly partially hollow—either deliberately, or because of voids between stacked blocks—so the true mass is lower. Even so, it is almost certainly above 200 tons.”
After breaking down that it would take “roughly 70 gigajoules” of energy to melt the sculpture, Crépel noted that “estimating the melt time for a structure like this is inherently uncertain.” Still, he believes it’s likely to stick around for at least two weeks.
As for fans trying to speed things up by chipping away at it with ice picks, Crépel explained that it could actually help. “Not only does it directly remove ice by the kilogram,” he said. “But it also increases surface roughness, which in turn enhances both solar and convective heat transfer.”
When Kurrco shared Crépel’s estimate on X (formerly Twitter), fans didn’t hold back their frustration. “He not making us wait for a date for 2 weeks if that is true that would genuinely ruin everything,” one user wrote, while another joked, “bro edging us.”
Drake previously said he would unveil the ICEMAN release date once the sculpture melts, sharing the promise on his Instagram Story on Monday. That announcement quickly got fans involved, with some showing up at the ice structure using pickaxes, blowtorches, and other tools in an effort to speed things along.
He initially kicked off the album rollout last year with a series of livestreams, where he debuted three singles: “What Did I Miss?,” “Which One” featuring Central Cee, and “Dog House” featuring Yeat and Julia Wolf. ICEMAN will also mark his first solo album since his 2024 feud with Kendrick Lamar.
